Relationship between Iran Surface Pressure and India Summer Monsoon
Abstract
The study examines the relationship between Indian summer monsoon rainfall and the Iran surface pressure.
The analysis is based on trend analysis, correlations and regressions performed using ERA-Interim data and
India Meteorological Department rainfall records based on station data from 1979 to 2015. The summer season
shows decreasing trends in surface pressure and increasing trend in rainfall over Iran and NW India,
respectively. The decrease in surface pressure over Iran is associated with the anomalous cyclonic circulation
with northerlies and westerlies over Persian Gulf and north Arabian Sea, respectively. These intensify the
climatological background cross equatorial flow over Arabian Sea and further converge towards NW India with
abundant of moisture supply, favoring deep convection with active Indian summer monsoon.
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