An Assessment of Relation of Meteorological Parameters and COVID-19 Transmission at the Early Stage during March-May 2020 in India

  • Krushna Chandra Gouda CSIR Fourth Paradigm Institute, Wind Tunnel Road, Bangalore-37
  • Mahendra Benke India Meteorological Department, Pune
  • Priya Singh CSIR Fourth Paradigm Institute, Wind Tunnel Road, Bangalore-37
  • Nikhilasuma Pernaje CSIR Fourth Paradigm Institute, Wind Tunnel Road, Bangalore-37
  • Reshama Kumari CSIR Fourth Paradigm Institute, Wind Tunnel Road, Bangalore-37
  • Chandrika Murali Department of Computer Science, Jain Deemed to be University, Bangalore
  • Geeta Agnihotri Meteorological Centre, India Meteorological Department, Bangalore
  • Sneh Joshi Government Degree College, Kanda, Kumaun University, Nainital, Uttarakhand
  • Smrutishree Lenka Dayananda Sagar College of Engineering (VTU), Bangalore
  • Rani Devi Academy of Scientific and Innovative Research (AcSIR), Ghaziabad, Uttar Pradesh, 201002
  • Suryanaryana Murty Upadhyayula National Institute of Pharmaceutical Education and Research NIPER, Guwahati
  • Himesh Shivappa Academy of Scientific and Innovative Research (AcSIR), Ghaziabad, Uttar Pradesh, 201002
Keywords: COVID-19, Weather parameters, Temperature, Relative humidity, Solar radiation, Summer and Temperature humidity index.

Abstract

The Corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mainly caused by the novel severe acute respiratory syndrome corona virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) became a global pandemic by March 2020.  Actual there is no strong evidence of weather and COVD-19 spread relation as it is a new virus. This study is mainly focused on the tropical weather impact on the spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19 during the early stages i.e. March-May 2020 in India, which is a large country where the disease has shown an exponential growth. This study is an attempt to assess the relationship of major meteorological parameters like solar radiation, air temperature and relative humidity with the positive cases of COVID-19 for the period March-May 2020 which is the summer season or pre-monsoon season over India. The time series and significant correlation analysis at daily, weekly scale and the spatial analysis of weather parameters and the COVID-19 cases are presented. The results show significant correlation of solar radiation and atmospheric temperature with COVID-19 cases both at daily and weekly scale in India whereas relative humidity has low correlation in the study period. But the temperature relative humidity index (THI) a measure of the thermal stress shows positive correlation with the disease spread. These results can be a good input for developing the integrated modelling framework for the COVID-19 forecasting using state of art numerical weather prediction model and disease process modelling.

 

Published
2024-02-12
How to Cite
Gouda, K., Benke, M., Singh, P., Pernaje, N., Kumari, R., Murali, C., Agnihotri, G., Joshi, S., Lenka, S., Devi, R., Upadhyayula, S., & Shivappa, H. (2024). An Assessment of Relation of Meteorological Parameters and COVID-19 Transmission at the Early Stage during March-May 2020 in India. Vayumandal, 47(2), 74-86. Retrieved from https://vayumandal.imetsociety.org/index.php/Vayumandal/article/view/66
Issue
Vol 47 No 2 (2021): Vayumandal
Section
Research Paper

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